Go back to Flu Mortality


1989-1990 epidemic

index 25 (1989, 11, 106) to 43 (1990, 3, 119)

N = 27653146

data1 = c(106, 121, 136, 156, 183, 248, 279, 276, 239, 185, 160, 187, 150, 193, 153, 153, 138, 143, 119)

t1 = c(0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18)

base1 = c(105.1240, 106.3563, 107.5804, 108.7790, 109.9351, 111.0325, 112.0557, 112.9902, 113.8230, 114.5424, 115.1383, 115.6027, 115.9291, 116.1133, 116.1530, 116.0481, 115.8005, 115.4142, 114.8952)

BCdata1 = c(17, 18, 21, 23, 28, 34, 36, 49, 39, 34, 27, 28, 33, 28, 24, 15, 16, 27, 28)

ONdata1 = c(40, 40, 49, 70, 71, 108, 118, 103, 87, 61, 64, 51, 38, 69, 52, 53, 54, 46, 37)

QCdata1 = c(16, 23, 23, 20, 27, 28, 43, 42, 50, 31, 30, 45, 44, 46, 33, 43, 28, 26, 26)

1990-1991 epidemic

index 82 (1990, 12, 124) to 104 (1991, 5, 115)

N = 28023630

data2 = c(124, 162, 175, 169, 155, 155, 137, 166, 159, 162, 149, 148, 155, 162, 146, 126, 124, 129, 119, 114, 123, 118, 115)

t2 = c(0:22)

base2 = c(112.3501, 113.3875, 114.3388, 115.1905, 115.9308, 116.5493, 117.0375, 117.3888, 117.5985, 117.6639, 117.5846, 117.3620, 117.0000, 116.5040, 115.8817, 115.1426, 114.2978, 113.3598, 112.3428, 111.2619, 110.1331, 108.9732, 107.7995)

BCdata2 = c(21, 36, 26, 26, 23, 14, 19, 30, 8, 24, 18, 26, 23, 24, 27, 25, 13, 28, 24, 21, 14, 14, 12)

ONdata2 = c(49, 70, 63, 78, 65, 71, 44, 69, 66, 61, 61, 60, 66, 60, 60, 50, 56, 47, 35, 44, 52, 49, 47)

QCdata2 = c(24, 23, 38, 27, 24, 32, 31, 34, 32, 23, 29, 29, 26, 22, 17, 19, 21, 24, 21, 20, 14, 16, 19)

1991-1992 epidemic

index 124 (1991, 10, 118) to 146 (1992, 3, 16, 142)

N = 28301730

data3 = c(118, 124, 126, 118, 124, 136, 145, 140, 172, 172, 206, 236, 239, 197, 189, 161, 162, 160, 158, 158, 142, 142, 142)

t3 = c(0:22)

base3 = c(102.1140, 103.1020, 104.1703, 105.3040, 106.4870, 107.7026, 108.9336, 110.1626, 111.3722, 112.5454, 113.6654, 114.7167, 115.6842, 116.5545, 117.3154, 117.9562, 118.4681, 118.8440, 119.0791, 119.1702, 119.1165, 118.9192, 118.5815)

BCdata3 = c(22, 19, 25, 23, 20, 20, 23, 23, 17, 21, 15, 29, 33, 31, 23, 32, 14, 24, 28, 29, 27, 26, 23)

ONdata3 = c(47, 66, 40, 43, 56, 50, 49, 63, 83, 85, 85, 81, 91, 68, 69, 57, 67, 61, 55, 62, 52, 51, 61)

QCdata3 = c(20, 14, 16, 11, 17, 25, 25, 22, 38, 30, 40, 47, 44, 36, 30, 27, 31, 23, 29, 33, 27, 24, 21)

1992-1993 epidemic

index 184 (1992, 12, 118) to 207 (1993, 5, 124)

N = 28680833

data4 = c(118, 154, 154, 182, 175, 190, 170, 147, 132, 149, 159, 175, 200, 217, 218, 228, 214, 217, 175, 139, 135, 131, 129, 124)

t4 = c(0:23)

base4 = c(112.6671, 113.8479, 114.9786, 116.0432, 117.0266, 117.9151, 118.6962, 119.3590, 119.8943, 120.2948, 120.5551, 120.6719, 120.6439, 120.4719, 120.1588, 119.7096, 119.1312, 118.4323, 117.6236, 116.7172, 115.7266, 114.6665, 113.5528, 112.4020)

BCdata4 = c(19, 38, 33, 33, 31, 31, 37, 29, 26, 22, 31, 40, 47, 55, 47, 46, 40, 36, 25, 14, 22, 15, 20, 18)

ONdata4 = c(44, 57, 71, 60, 64, 78, 59, 52, 49, 58, 67, 69, 77, 73, 78, 81, 86, 85, 60, 51, 58, 54, 47, 54)

QCdata4 = c(24, 25, 10, 25, 35, 33, 26, 28, 22, 26, 21, 26, 36, 38, 31, 46, 37, 39, 30, 19, 24, 22, 23, 15)

1993-1994 epidemic

index 227 (1993, 10, 105) to 255 (1994, 4, 146)

N = 28954822

data5 = c(105, 120, 118, 131, 112, 128, 124, 122, 137, 144, 128, 161, 237, 286, 283, 242, 264, 206, 204, 203, 167, 179, 136, 160, 134, 143, 130, 139, 146)

t5 = c(0:28)

base5 = c(103.9428, 104.8000, 105.7560, 106.7975, 107.9098, 109.0772, 110.2832, 111.5107, 112.7424, 113.9609, 115.1489, 116.2897, 117.3671, 118.3660, 119.2722, 120.0732, 120.7577, 121.3163, 121.7412, 122.0267, 122.1691, 122.1668, 122.0202, 121.7318, 121.3063, 120.7502, 120.0720, 119.2820, 118.3919)

BCdata5 = c(18,21,15,14,28,17,20,21,30,22,19,32,36,34,31,27,31,19,38,31,23,28,19,27,20,29,17,19,30)

ONdata5 = c(45,49,47,66,44,69,50,46,48,56,48,58,87,131,127,99,123,102,79,82,67,67,53,57,48,51,52,62,49)

QCdata5 = c(13,20,17,16,16,18,21,15,15,23,17,26,32,47,51,46,50,35,36,30,26,29,22,25,22,13,26,23,22)

1994-1995 epidemic

index 285 (1994, 11, 129) to 311 (1995, 5, 116)

N = 29312051

data6 = c(129, 142, 123, 147, 153, 165, 163, 185, 176, 192, 166, 173, 159, 179, 212, 212, 229, 232, 219, 199, 163, 168, 146, 139, 123, 133, 116)

t6 = c(0:26)

base6 = c(111.5744, 112.7994, 114.0316, 115.2537, 116.4484, 117.5987, 118.6885, 119.7024, 120.6261, 121.4466, 122.1525, 122.7341, 123.1831, 123.4937, 123.6617, 123.6851, 123.5640, 123.3005, 122.8989, 122.3654, 121.7082, 120.9372, 120.0639, 119.1016, 118.0644, 116.9679, 115.8283)

BCdata6 = c(25,17,19,34,26,32,19,38,35,36,30,29,24,25,22,27,33,30,44,32,23,19,28,16,22,27,15)

ONdata6 = c(52,57,55,53,60,55,74,78,69,75,60,58,80,82,96,100,88,92,73,74,74,68,53,46,53,46,47)

QCdata6 = c(22,22,21,30,23,27,29,29,30,36,32,33,23,31,48,36,49,42,43,42,30,27,29,26,17,24, 24)

A6 = c(0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,9,14,19,10,20,33,75,127,100,106,89,59,30,8,10,15,19,5,0)

B6 = c(1,0,0,0,0,0.01,1,1,3,4,11,7,6,11,12,15,14,16,18,19,21,23,16,18,11,1,0.01)

1995-1996 epidemic

index 332 (1995, 10, 109) to 362 (1996, 5, 119)

N = 29598699

data7 = c(109, 150, 123, 131, 128, 139, 148, 131, 144, 150, 175, 193, 215, 207, 164, 191, 167, 175, 179, 173, 149, 174, 159, 153, 174, 153, 165, 156, 166, 125, 119)

t7 = c(0:30)

base7 = c(107.4984, 108.4209, 109.4337, 110.5226, 111.6723, 112.8665, 114.0883, 115.3205, 116.5457, 117.7465, 118.9059, 120.0076, 121.0360, 121.9767, 122.8164, 123.5434, 124.1477, 124.6207, 124.9563, 125.1498, 125.1989, 125.1033, 124.8648, 124.4873, 123.9767, 123.3407, 122.5891, 121.7331, 120.7856, 119.7606, 118.6734)

BCdata7 = c(17,29,20,26,14,25,27,28,24,25,35,35,51,33,27,35,17,24,32,27,27,24,23,27,19,31,32,18,29,12,18)

ONdata7 = c(40,53,56,55,46,58,62,53,58,52,73,60,70,79,67,70,63,57,62,66,45,62,60,64,88,61,61,66,70,57,51)

QCdata7 = c(13,22,25,20,28,26,21,14,20,29,16,31,36,41,24,26,34,41,37,30,32,39,30,25,30,21,25,23,25,22,14)

A7 = c(0,1,1,1,3,10,33,49,79,85,0,32,29,30,23,19,27,26,41,32,44,29,28,31,28,17,4,12,6,10,4)

B7 = c(0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,1,0,0,3,0,3,1,3,4,10,7,4,9,19,22,10,20,12,9,4)

1996-1997 epidemic

index 380 (1996, 9, 117) to 417 (1997, 5, 136)

N = 29888998

data8 = c(117, 121, 109, 132, 145, 130, 139, 115, 144, 131, 150, 145, 134, 171, 198, 234, 378, 373, 319, 234, 219, 203, 193, 188, 218, 176, 218, 181, 193, 190, 180, 167, 154, 154, 158, 122, 122, 136)

t8 = c(0:37)

base8 = c(106.3900, 106.8131, 107.3700, 108.0529, 108.8525, 109.7575, 110.7553, 111.8318, 112.9719, 114.1594, 115.3776, 116.6092, 117.8369, 119.0433, 120.2112, 121.3243, 122.3668, 123.3241, 124.1826, 124.9304, 125.5571, 126.0540, 126.4143, 126.6332, 126.7081, 126.6381, 126.4247, 126.0715, 125.5840, 124.9697, 124.2378, 123.3994, 122.4671, 121.4548, 120.3775, 119.2513, 118.0929, 116.9195)

BCdata8 = c(19,22,15,22,19,16,27,18,25,28,22,23,26,45,32,38,78,63,42,36,30,34,33,40,32,25,31,26,24,27,27,28,25,20,21,27,16,17)

ONdata8 = c(41,37,37,48,49,56,57,46,62,43,65,60,49,60,72,100,161,152,147,93,79,73,63,61,69,68,70,62,77,67,55,61,55,62,66,39,47,59)

QCdata8 = c(19,20,20,21,22,12,24,19,18,19,22,17,20,16,34,33,59,60,58,56,59,50,44,42,56,35,41,33,31,36,31,33,36,26,28,22,27,20)

A8 = c(0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,93,58,42,30,10,18,11,12,0,4,5,6,1,0,2,0,0,0,0)

B8 = c(0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,23,26,27,43,63,83,64,46,54,39,49,36,19,6,7,6,0,2)

1997-1998 epidemic

index 433 (1997, 9, 119) to 469 (1998, 5, 136)

N = 30170983

data9 = c(119, 125, 137, 142, 115, 125, 143, 151, 141, 138, 141, 132, 132, 160, 151, 191, 226, 210, 244, 239, 269, 314, 387, 422, 406, 347, 325, 279, 224, 178, 155, 169, 165, 126, 135, 135, 136)

t9 = c(0:36)

base9 = c(108.2354, 108.7691, 109.4303, 110.2099, 111.0971, 112.0794, 113.1430, 114.2729, 115.4532, 116.6672, 117.8978, 119.1274, 120.3388, 121.5148, 122.6388, 123.6950, 124.6684, 125.5454, 126.3136, 126.9625, 127.4830, 127.8679, 128.1122, 128.2127, 128.1684, 127.9803, 127.6515, 127.1874, 126.5949, 125.8831, 125.0628, 124.1461, 123.1469, 122.0800, 120.9613, 119.8074, 118.6354)

BCdata9 = c(17,18,14,26,24,18,28,32,22,20,22,25,28,24,27,22,34,28,32,31,42,42,57,51,45,64,50,61,39,32,32,37,23,18,22,24,28)

ONdata9 = c(47,47,70,46,40,52,53,51,46,48,63,48,36,61,60,75,85,74,78,86,92,121,174,185,166,121,130,88,85,60,54,52,60,47,53,48,49)

QCdata9 = c(20,22,16,30,24,20,31,29,24,24,21,30,24,33,28,52,49,52,72,58,57,62,71,58,61,39,40,41,35,29,29,25,44,21,23,29,31)

A9 = c(0,1,0,0,7,18,4,0,1,0,1,0,1,3,0,41,42,70,147,237,313,480,499,583,532,456,282,206,142,60,20,21,18,4,5,3,4)

B9 = c(0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,1,1,0.01,0,0,0,1,0,0,0,3,1,0,0,2,0,1,0,1,0,0,0,0,0,0)

1998-1999 epidemic

index 487 (1998, 9, 117) to 520 (1999, 5, 135)

N = 30433887

data10 = c(117, 127, 141, 137, 155, 129, 149, 143, 147, 154, 154, 175, 160, 225, 292, 255, 269, 267, 262, 271, 312, 328, 305, 291, 243, 217, 187, 173, 158, 147, 142, 157, 134, 135)

t10 = c(0:33)

base10 = c(110.8113, 111.5707, 112.4397, 113.4061, 114.4563, 115.5756, 116.7482, 117.9574, 119.1863, 120.4174, 121.6333, 122.8168, 123.9512, 125.0205, 126.0096, 126.9047, 127.6931, 128.3638, 128.9076, 129.3171, 129.5866, 129.7128, 129.6941, 129.5313, 129.2273, 128.7867, 128.2164, 127.5250, 126.7231, 125.8226, 124.8370, 123.7810, 122.6702, 121.5213)

BCdata10 = c(19,19,26,23,30,30,29,16,16,24,24,23,31,29,31,34,58,42,50,44,39,39,34,42,36,39,32,28,21,27,25,25,22,28)

ONdata10 = c(39,57,50,55,53,41,55,61,62,75,54,72,66,90,107,87,98,92,87,98,113,140,118,129,110,105,88,81,64,54,49,65,44,38)

QCdata10 = c(27,23,19,23,26,21,26,32,27,22,25,33,23,35,47,38,37,52,59,60,81,88,83,64,33,41,32,24,21,16,29,31,27,24)

A10 = c(2,0,1,0,0,2,3,9,6,7,9,12,7,30,68,157,197,249,393,481,490,412,369,320,238,138,107,65,61,25,35,9,14,9)

B10 = c(0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,2,0,0,0,0,3,9,13,33,44,61,75,97,86,76,64,44,29,49,12,11,7,10,7)